Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Current tensions between the US and Iran, alongside France's expansion of its nuclear doctrine, elevate the global nuclear threat level.
Artificial Intelligence
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate due to increasing strategic partnerships, military interest, and AI's expanding role in critical sectors, raising concerns over alignment and misuse.
Climate Change
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Today's climate risk is high due to increasing extreme weather events, policy challenges, and ecosystem disruptions exacerbated by climate change.
Pandemics
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing flu and measles outbreaks, persistent COVID-19 effects, and emerging avian flu and MERS cases.
Information Integrity
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Today's global misinformation risk is high due to widespread disinformation related to geopolitical conflicts, financial scams, and AI-generated content.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.8 / 5
High Risk
A joint military operation by the US and Israel against Iran has escalated tensions in the Middle East, posing a significant geopolitical Black Swan risk.