Emerging uncertainties drive the "Unknown / Black Swan" category into High Risk territory, signaling heightened global unease about unforeseen events.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Recent developments indicate an escalating nuclear threat due to strategic shifts, potential policy changes, and increased rhetoric from nuclear-armed states.
Today's AI risk is high due to advancements in self-improving models, potential misuse in cybersecurity, and the creation of synthetic viruses without adequate safety measures.
Today's climate risk is high due to extreme weather events, record temperatures, and the ongoing impact of climate change on ecosystems and human health.
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing COVID-19 concerns, emerging avian flu cases, and the spread of other infectious diseases like MERS and Cyclospora.