Panthrisk

The world’s threat level. Measured daily.

Global Risk
4.1 / 5
High Risk
-0.1 from yesterday
Top mover: Artificial Intelligence
Confidence in Artificial Intelligence and Black Swan events strengthens as perceived risks decline to moderate levels.
Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Recent satellite imagery reveals China's nuclear arsenal expansion amid the collapse of global nuclear treaties, while European nations reconsider their nuclear strategies due to perceived security threats.
Artificial Intelligence
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate due to advancements in AI capabilities and concerns over safety, security, and ethical implications.
Climate Change
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Today's climate risk is high due to policy rollbacks undermining climate action, extreme weather patterns, and long-term risks of ecosystem collapse.
Pandemics
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
The current global pandemic risk is moderate due to rising flu and measles cases, persistent COVID-19 challenges, and avian flu outbreaks, compounded by vaccine hesitancy and misinformation.
Information Integrity
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Today's global misinformation threat is high, driven by the proliferation of AI-generated content and politically charged falsehoods.
Unknown / Black Swan
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
The emergence of Bulgaria's upgraded 'Black Swan' cargo drone with surveillance capabilities signals a potential shift in autonomous military and surveillance technology, posing unforeseen geopolitical and security challenges.