Panthrisk

The world's threat level. Measured daily.

Current reading Nightly global assessment
Coverage 6 monitored threat domains
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Global Risk
4.1 / 5
High Risk
+0.0 from yesterday
Top mover: Unknown / Black Swan
The perceived threat of unknown or black swan events has significantly decreased, shifting from high risk to moderate risk.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
The current nuclear threat level is elevated due to Russia's potential consideration of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine and increasing nuclear armament sentiment in South Korea.
Artificial Intelligence
3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate due to advancements in AI capabilities and the potential for misuse in cyber operations and influence campaigns.
Climate Change
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Current climate events, including devastating floods in Nepal and accelerating glacier melt, highlight an increasing risk of severe weather and long-term environmental instability.
Pandemics
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's pandemic risk is high due to concurrent outbreaks of measles, Ebola, and avian flu, compounded by vaccine hesitancy and misinformation.
Information Integrity
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's misinformation risk is high due to widespread disinformation campaigns targeting political processes and the increasing sophistication of AI-generated deepfakes.
Unknown / Black Swan
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
The emergence of rabies in Cape Fur Seals in South Africa could indicate a broader ecological disruption with unforeseen cascading effects.