Panthrisk

The world's threat level. Measured daily.

Current reading Nightly global assessment
Coverage 6 monitored threat domains
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Global Risk
4.1 / 5
High Risk
+0.1 from yesterday
Top mover: Nuclear War
Pandemics risk escalates from high to a critical threshold, signaling an urgent need for global preparedness.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The global nuclear threat is elevated due to increased nuclear weapons spending, geopolitical tensions, and the breakdown of nonproliferation efforts.
Artificial Intelligence
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate due to concerns over influence operations and AI safety in military and governmental contexts.
Climate Change
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The forecasted strong El NiƱo, combined with ongoing climate change impacts, poses significant risks to ecosystems, food security, and public health.
Pandemics
4.3 / 5
High Risk
The current global pandemic risk is high due to the expanding Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, compounded by ongoing challenges with long COVID and avian flu outbreaks.
Information Integrity
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's misinformation risk is high due to widespread election-related falsehoods and the increasing sophistication of AI-generated content.
Unknown / Black Swan
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
The discovery of pumice rafts encroaching on the Admiralty Islands signals a potential for significant ecological and maritime disruption.