Nuclear War
4.5 / 5
High Risk
The expiration of the New START treaty between the U.S. and Russia, coupled with accusations of secret nuclear tests by China, significantly elevates global nuclear tensions and risks of an arms race.
Artificial Intelligence
3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate, driven by advancements in AI capabilities and integration across sectors, raising concerns about alignment, security, and power concentration.
Climate Change
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's climate risk is high due to ongoing extreme weather events, policy challenges, and the exacerbating impacts of climate change on ecosystems and human health.
Pandemics
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
The current pandemic risk is moderate due to rising flu and RSV activity, persistent long COVID issues, and significant measles outbreaks.
Information Integrity
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's misinformation risk is high due to the proliferation of false claims and manipulated media involving high-profile figures and sensitive topics.
Unknown / Black Swan
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Strong solar flare activity poses a potential threat to global communication and power infrastructures.