Panthrisk

The world's threat level. Measured daily.

Current reading Nightly global assessment
Coverage 6 monitored threat domains
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Global Risk
4.2 / 5
High Risk
+0.1 from yesterday
Top mover: Unknown / Black Swan
The threat of Unknown/Black Swan events has surged into the high-risk category, signaling heightened global uncertainty.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Recent nuclear exercises and deployments by Russia in Belarus, coupled with North Korea's arms support to Russia and Iran's nuclear ambitions, significantly elevate global nuclear tensions.
Artificial Intelligence
3.5 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate, driven by rapid AI deployment in enterprise and government sectors, raising concerns about alignment and misuse.
Climate Change
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Current climate trends indicate high risk due to extreme weather events, policy failures, and escalating impacts on ecosystems and human health.
Pandemics
4.5 / 5
High Risk
The current pandemic risk is high due to a rapidly spreading Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, compounded by challenges in public health response and misinformation.
Information Integrity
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The global threat level from misinformation and disinformation is high, driven by diverse and pervasive false narratives across politics, health, and technology.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.3 / 5
High Risk
A new eruption in the Bismarck Sea could trigger unpredictable geological and environmental consequences.