Panthrisk

The world's threat level. Measured daily.

Current reading Nightly global assessment
Coverage 6 monitored threat domains
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Global Risk
4.2 / 5
High Risk
+0.2 from yesterday
Top mover: Unknown / Black Swan
Surging concerns over Artificial Intelligence and unexpected Black Swan events elevate them to high-risk territories, signaling a shift in global threat priorities.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The nuclear threat level is elevated due to increased interest in nuclear weapons development by Iran, potential treaty breakdowns, and regional tensions involving Russia and its neighbors.
Artificial Intelligence
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Recent developments highlight significant AI advancements and security breaches, raising concerns about AI safety and control.
Climate Change
4.5 / 5
High Risk
Today's climate risk is high due to the increasing frequency and severity of wildfires in Europe, driven by human-caused climate change, and the broader systemic failures to effectively mitigate these impacts.
Pandemics
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing outbreaks of Ebola, measles, and cyclospora, alongside challenges in vaccine policy and public health preparedness.
Information Integrity
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Today's global misinformation threat is high, driven by widespread scams, election misinformation, and climate change disinformation.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The Iranian regime faces an existential threat from the US, increasing the likelihood of geopolitical instability.