Panthrisk

The world's threat level. Measured daily.

Current reading Nightly global assessment
Coverage 6 monitored threat domains
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Global Risk
4.2 / 5
High Risk
+0.1 from yesterday
Top mover: Unknown / Black Swan
The emergence of unknown or black swan events as a high risk underscores growing unpredictability in global threat landscapes.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
North Korea's aggressive nuclear rhetoric, coupled with global tensions and modernization of arsenals, elevates the nuclear threat level significantly.
Artificial Intelligence
4.0 / 5
High Risk
Recent disclosures of AI safety incidents and ongoing discussions about AI regulation highlight significant concerns about AI alignment and misuse.
Climate Change
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Today's climate risk is high due to increasing extreme weather events and their economic impacts, alongside insufficient global policy responses.
Pandemics
4.1 / 5
High Risk
Today's pandemic risk is high due to ongoing outbreaks of measles, avian flu, and Ebola, compounded by vaccine hesitancy and misinformation.
Information Integrity
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's misinformation risk is high due to the widespread use of AI-generated content and disinformation campaigns, particularly by state actors like Russia.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.3 / 5
High Risk
The Anak Krakatau volcano's renewed activity poses a significant risk of unexpected geological events with potential for widespread impact.