The risk of Unknown/Black Swan events has surged to a high threat level, signaling increased unpredictability in global stability.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The global nuclear threat level is elevated due to record-high nuclear weapons spending, aggressive posturing by nuclear states, and weakened diplomatic channels.
Today's AI risk is moderate due to concerns over geopolitical influence, security vulnerabilities, and the rapid integration of AI in critical sectors.
Global warming is accelerating, with projections indicating a breach of the 1.5°C threshold within the next four years, heightening the risk of extreme weather and ecosystem disruptions.