Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
The expiration of the New START treaty, coupled with ongoing tensions involving Iran and potential secretive nuclear activities by China, significantly elevates the nuclear threat level.
Artificial Intelligence
4.1 / 5
High Risk
The approval of a UN scientific panel on AI, alongside warnings from AI safety researchers, highlights growing concerns about AI's global impact and potential risks.
Climate Change
4.5 / 5
High Risk
The revocation of key climate change regulations by the Trump administration significantly undermines efforts to mitigate climate risks, increasing the threat level.
Pandemics
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's pandemic risk is moderate, driven by rising flu and measles cases, persistent COVID-19 challenges, and ongoing avian flu outbreaks.
Information Integrity
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's misinformation risk is high due to widespread fake news and disinformation campaigns affecting elections, health, and geopolitical tensions.
Unknown / Black Swan
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
The potential for a significant 'Black Swan' event in global financial markets is increasingly seen as a 'ticking time bomb' with unpredictable consequences.