The specter of unforeseen global disruptions looms larger as the risk of Unknown/Black Swan events surges to high threat levels.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The current nuclear threat level is elevated due to increased tensions and modernization efforts among nuclear-armed states, coupled with deteriorating diplomatic channels and shifting doctrines.
The current climate threat level is high due to extreme weather events, ecosystem disruptions, and insufficient policy responses exacerbating long-term risks.
Current infectious disease threats, including Ebola, avian flu, and long COVID, highlight significant global public health challenges exacerbated by misinformation and surveillance gaps.