Rising concerns over unpredictable "Black Swan" events elevate their risk perception to a high-threat level.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The nuclear threat level is elevated due to Lithuania's move to lift its ban on nuclear weapons amid rising tensions with Russia, coupled with ongoing concerns about AI's role in military conflicts.
Today's AI risk is moderate due to advancements in AI capabilities and strategic partnerships, raising concerns about alignment, power concentration, and misuse.
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing outbreaks of various infectious diseases, including Ebola, cholera, and avian flu, alongside persistent challenges in vaccine policy and misinformation.