Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Current global nuclear threat levels are elevated due to increased nuclear armament activities by China, potential nuclear ambitions in Poland, and the erosion of key arms control treaties.
Artificial Intelligence
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is driven by advancements in AI capabilities and their integration into military and enterprise systems, raising concerns about alignment and control.
Climate Change
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's climate risk is high due to intensified extreme weather events and policy setbacks in addressing climate change.
Pandemics
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to rising flu and measles cases, ongoing avian flu outbreaks, and persistent COVID-19 impacts.
Information Integrity
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's misinformation risk is high due to the widespread use of AI-generated content and deepfakes, alongside persistent political and health-related falsehoods.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.3 / 5
High Risk
The potential for a massive cyberattack in 2025 poses a significant Black Swan risk with the capacity to disrupt global systems and economies.