Panthrisk

The world's threat level. Measured daily.

Current reading Nightly global assessment
Coverage 6 monitored threat domains
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Global Risk
3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk
-0.2 from yesterday
Top mover: Unknown / Black Swan
The perceived threat of Unknown/Black Swan events has dramatically decreased from High Risk to Low Risk.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The current nuclear threat level is heightened due to escalating tensions involving Iran's nuclear program, North Korea's aggressive nuclear posture, and the breakdown of diplomatic channels.
Artificial Intelligence
3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate due to rapid advancements and widespread deployment, raising concerns about alignment, power concentration, and societal impacts.
Climate Change
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Today's climate risk is high due to the impending 'super' El Niño, rising ocean temperatures, and the pervasive impact of microplastics on climate change.
Pandemics
3.5 / 5
Moderate Risk
The current pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing hantavirus outbreaks, avian flu cases, and vaccine misinformation challenges.
Information Integrity
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's misinformation risk is moderate due to widespread political and health-related falsehoods, particularly involving high-profile figures and contentious topics.
Unknown / Black Swan
2.8 / 5
Low Risk
Sustaining diplomacy amid US-China competition highlights potential for unexpected geopolitical shifts.