Nuclear War
4.5 / 5
High Risk
The expiration of the New START treaty and potential nuclear arms race between major powers significantly elevate global nuclear threat levels.
Artificial Intelligence
3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate, with significant advancements in AI deployment across military, healthcare, and enterprise sectors raising concerns about alignment, power concentration, and potential misuse.
Climate Change
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Current climate trends indicate significant threats to ecosystems, agriculture, and global weather patterns, exacerbated by policy and adaptation challenges.
Pandemics
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's pandemic risk is moderate, with rising respiratory virus activity, persistent vaccine hesitancy, and ongoing measles and avian flu outbreaks.
Information Integrity
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's misinformation risk is moderate, with AI-generated content and celebrity-related falsehoods contributing to the spread of misleading narratives.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.2 / 5
High Risk
A major 'black swan' event may be brewing in the global market, likened to a 'ticking time bomb.'